Eyes on The Tropics
Since the forecasters predicted 2017 would be an active hurricane season, the tropics are doing what they can to oblige the prognosticators. Disturbance 2 (yellow on the map) has whipped itself into what is an area of disorganized shower activity. The National Hurricane Center believes 2 has a 10% chance of cyclone formation over the next five days.
Meanwhile Disturbance 1 (orange on the map) has been meandering around the mid Atlantic with it's development chances going up and down, and today it's back up again to 50%. That's cause it seems to have found a lovely trough of low pressure to couch itself in about 350 miles east of the northern Leeward Islands. The weathermen think that by the weekend environmental factors will favor even better development... we're keeping our eyes open.
Down in the Gulf of Mexico TS Franklin continues to wander westward picking up moisture off the ocean and dropping it back down again. Franklin is driving sustained winds of 60 mph and moving west at around 13 mph.