100% Chance; Texas-Florida
As of 7PM Lake Charles, LA., time the National Weather Service has determined that the remnants of Tropical Storm Harvey now has a 100% chance to reorganize, this according to information gleaned from surface reports and satellite images.
The expectation is that by Wednesday or Thursday, environmental conditions favor and are conducive for the depression to develop further including a tropical storm entity. Regardless of how well it forms or not, its slow 10 MPH westward movement is expected to drench coastal areas with prolonged periods of heavy rainfall and possible flooding. The system could also produce a storm surge and we all remember how much we love those...
While it may not yet be time to blow-out the bottled water and toilet paper supply at every area store, it's a good time to look over your pantry and see what you have on hand. Planning is an ongoing process and naturally we'll monitor the progress of ol' Harvey.
Disturbance No. 2 in yellow on the chart, shows a 30% chance of cyclone formation over the next five days while it moves across the Florida peninsula with scattered rainfall. Regardless of its future cyclonic development it is certain to dump heavy rains across the swampy state and like Harvey's throw-offs generate rains capable of flooding.
Our location in Louisiana virtually guarantees rain in the forecast for the next several days.